CoastaxProTech Insights
Can AI Predict Financial Markets?
AI can estimate patterns and probabilities, but markets remain uncertain and no model can guarantee a future price.
Forecasts are not facts
A model may find relationships in historical data and estimate what could happen under similar conditions. Markets also respond to new information, human behaviour and events that are not present in the training data.
Why models fail
Overfitting, poor data, changing market regimes and transaction costs can turn an attractive back-test into a poor real-world result.
Questions to ask
- What data was used?
- Was the result tested on unseen periods?
- Are fees and slippage included?
- What happens when the model is wrong?
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